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Published on: 10/1/2009
Last Visited: 10/2/2009
The project, with a combined 450 units in both towers, is one to watch both because of its sheer size and because of developer Toll Brothers' willingness "to do whatever they need to do to move product as long as they don't completely lose their shirt," said Michael Falsetta, executive vice president of commercial real estate advisor Miller Cicero, a sister company of Miller Samuel whose specialties include new development.
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"Downtown Brooklyn has done worse than just about any other neighborhood, even worse than Williamsburg, for two reasons," said Miller Cicero's Falsetta.
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Falsetta pointed out that, with the exception of Toren, many towers in this district sold slowly even during flush times.
He estimated that projects like Toren, be@Schermerhorn and Forté should slash their prices by up to a quarter to sell.
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If that were to happen, "I don't think it would do that much [to market prices], because it would just be nibbling around the edges," said Falsetta.
Of all six areas The Real Deal examined, median sales price fell the least over the past year in the neighborhoods of Bed-Stuy, Crown Heights and Prospect Heights, at a combined 5.7 percent.
Unlike the other districts, the bulk of price declines here occurred between 2007 and 2008, when the median sale price plunged from $605,000 to $477,000.
Falsetta said the luxury market in these neighborhoods fell first, probably in early 2008, "because they were fringe neighborhoods that only had recently begun appealing to the higher end of the market.
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"You'll do for the Fourth Avenue corridor what Northside Piers did for the Williamsburg luxury segment; you'll re-price the market," said Falsetta, adding that the heart of Park Slope wouldn't be affected.