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Published on: 2/24/2008
Last Visited: 2/26/2008
Plummer: Stimulus rebates to have questionable impact
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Among them, there is Jerry Plummer, associate professor of economics at Austin Peay State University, who says the real question lies in how taxpayers will spend their rebates, if at all.
"The Economic Stimulus Act of 2008 tax rebate program is built on the hope that virtually the entire amount will be spent on new goods and services, which will assist in revitalizing the economy by increasing overall spending," Plummer said.
"This excess spending is hoped to curb the chances of domestic recession, again, by spurring the economy via increased overall spending, which in turn, lowers the chances of job layoffs due to decreased production, in manufacturing, or sales, in the retail sector," he said.
Plummer said that, key to the spending question is who gets the rebate checks, and how much of it will they spend.
"If the lower- to middle-income earners receive the checks, then a larger amount will be spent on new items.If the rebate checks aim to the middle- to upper-income levels, much less will be spent, and will be used to pay off existing debt, or go to savings," Plummer said.
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"It appears that almost all of the lower- to middle-income group will receive rebates," Plummer said, "with upper-income earners receiving rebates of lesser amounts.
"This is good for the overall idea of having the rebates plow right back into new sales," he said.
He advises seniors and low-income earners to act quickly to get any type of tax rebate."If you wouldn't normally need to file a 2007 federal income tax return, you will need to file a 1040 or 1040A now to receive a (rebate) check.This is extra work on this part of the populace that often can react slowly to additional paperwork, too," he said.
Economists generally seem to think that the overall impact of the tax rebate checks on the nation's sluggish economy will be minor.
Many, like Plummer, describe the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008 as a "small drop in the big bucket," though putting more money in consumers' pockets has to help at least a little.
"With consumer debt at all-time highs, a national debt of over $9 trillion, plus an over-$60-billion-per-month trade deficit, the Act does nothing to address these issues," Plummer said.