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Published on: 2/5/2008
Last Visited: 2/6/2008
"Most retirement benefits have some adjustments in them," said Edward Erickson, professor of economics at California State University, Stanislaus, who also suggested that IRA and 401K savings will continue to show some gains.
Though food costs have gone up, Erickson said, there are indications the cost of energy is starting to slip, which will bring food prices back down.
Most retirees will not be affected by the housing downturn because they own their homes.
When home prices decline, it won't have much of an effect on them, Erickson said, but it will affect folks who got mortgages or used their homes like ATM machines during the last five or six years , especially those who obtained sub-prime adjustable loans because of a shaky credit history.These loans usually carry a very low introductory rate, which then adjusts to much higher rates as soon as a year later.
Those with standard mortgages won't be hurt if their payments don't adjust to levels beyond their ability to pay, Erickson said.
That's because, if they remain in the home, the decline in value will have no effect.
However, those who want to sell or are forced to move because of a job change will have to resign themselves to taking a loss.
"They will have to use other funds to cover the shortfall," said Erickson, who believes sellers will not have trouble finding buyers when they price it to the market."There will always be buyers if the price is right."
Erickson believes many buyers are sitting on the sidelines waiting for home prices to decline more.
"Once prices stop falling, they are all going to jump," he said.
Over the next year, Erickson said he sees moderate to small changes in the economy.
"Everybody is going to feel some effects, but people who are not working may feel it a little more; it depends on what adjustments occur in their income," he said.