www.portlandtribune.com/news/story.php?story_id=1227735 -
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Last Visited: 1/1/2009
Warming commission chairman Angus Duncan said Kantor's concern was legitimate, but cautioned it should not derail the state's efforts to fight climate change.
"That's not a reason to not move ahead," said Duncan, who also heads the Bonneville Environmental Foundation, a nonprofit organization that helps businesses find ways to offset their greenhouse gas emissions.
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Duncan dismissed the study as premature, given that the details of the system still are being finalized.
"No one knows for sure what the final plan will look like yet," he said.
Studies' predictions at odds
Duncan also said numerous other studies predict greenhouse gas emissions can be greatly reduced at virtually no economic cost, including a 2007 study released by McKinsey & Co. and the Conference Board, a national business research group.
That report said that projected 2030 emissions could be reduced between one-third and one-half without requiring big changes in consumer lifestyles.
The report also said that 40 percent of the reduction options would pay for themselves over time.
Duncan noted that some studies point to high - even catastrophic - costs to society if greenhouse gas emissions are not substantially cut.
For example, a 2006 study released by economist Lord Stern for the British government said unless global warming is curtailed, dealing with its effects ultimately could cost up to 20 percent of the global gross domestic product a year.
"The cost of doing nothing is many times the cost of doing something," Duncan said.
According to Duncan, the state has commissioned its own study of the economic effects of the system.
It will be partly financed by Associated Oregon Industries and other business interests.
He does not know when it will be released.
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Please note this bit of sophistry from Duncan.
"Duncan dismissed the study as premature, given that the details of the system still are being finalized. 'No one knows for sure what the final plan will look like yet,' he said."
Finalized plans are just that.
It is then too late to effectively comment.
Now is the time for Duncan and other boosters to provide sufficient detail to enable constructive analysis and comment.