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Published on: 3/30/2005
Last Visited: 3/30/2005
Maxx Dilley, the report's lead author and a scientist at Columbia's International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, said the motivation behind the four-year effort was to use the idea of foreseeable risk to avoid some portion of future damages.The report does not provide an absolute assessment of risk, such as calculating the chance of dying in a flood or earthquake, but tries to provide a snapshot of relative risks based on past economic damage and deaths.
Dilley and other authors conceded that biases are possible since the report relies on official accounts and media reports for much of its data.
Nevertheless, Dilley said he was surprised by the geographical extent of flooding-associated risks around the world, while Plessis-Fraissard said she was most struck by a tabulation of all natural disaster-related deaths between 1980 and 2000.Topping the list were deaths from drought, accounting for more than 560,000 of the 1.2 million death toll.
"That is not a nice death, death by starvation," she said.