The Pagosa Springs SUN 030206 -
[Cached Version]
Published on: 3/2/2006
Last Visited: 9/29/2008
Phil Brummel, of BKD, LLP, an independent certified public accounting firm, presented a 30-page forecasted financial statement to the district, which he summarized, "In the scheme of things, you really have a project that's very strong."
The forecasted financials consider revenues, expenses, and changes to net assets for the five years following initial construction of a hospital, expected to begin in August if the voters approve the district's bond question in May, and be completed in October of 2007."The bottom line is that for all periods (in the five-year forecast), there will be an excess of revenues over expenses," said Brummel.
A 35,000 square-foot hospital, estimated to cost $14 million, would house 15 hospital beds and offer services including inpatient and outpatient surgery, EKG and EEG monitoring, radiology, CT scanning, and laboratory, physical therapy and emergency services.
"Not only will you be able to cover the cost of the project, but you will be able to generate a positive level of cashflow," said Brummel.
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In the same period, according to Brummel, the Medicare percentage will grow 26 percent (from 1,414 to 1,919 people)."This is exactly what you want to see when you are looking at demand for hospital services," said Brummel.
In 2010, the final year of the analysis, 2,473 inpatient days are estimated (with each patient staying for an average of 3.26 days) with Medicare patients comprising 70 percent of the payer mix.For outpatients, 5,178 equivalent days are estimated, with a 50 percent Medicare payer mix.
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Estimated costs to build the hospital include $8 million for construction (plus a 5 percent "contingency" amount), $750,000 in medical equipment (Mercy Medical Center has pledged to donate equipment), $600,000 in architectural and engineering fees, and $1.8 million in working capital ("cash to get the doors open," said Brummel).