TimesDispatch.com | World of doubt -
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Published on: 3/12/2003
Last Visited: 3/13/2003
Emory Bogle could fill her in. He's a veteran University of Richmond history professor and author of the book "The Modern Middle East: From Imperialism to Freedom."His "brief" explanation of the situation in Iraq, from the country's founding in 1921 to the present day, takes about half an hour.
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Bogle, the scholar of the Middle East, deserves the last word.
"There's no predicting how this situation ultimately will unfold," he says."It's going to take the wisdom of Solomon for this thing to work out."
He's more confident than many that Iraq's people will welcome U.S. intervention and that there are enough "educated Iraqis who want to be part of the modern world" to stablize the country after Saddam's ouster.
"The question is, is their thinking modern enough to support a Western-style constitutional government?"Bogle is less optimistic about that."If everybody in Iraq has a vote, my suspicion is that an [anti-Western] Islamic kind of government might emerge."
The bigger challenge, Bogle believes, will be to deal with "a monster unintentionally created" when Saudi Arabia tried to quiet its Islamic dissidents by bankrolling an international network of fundamentalist schools and mosques, "which grew into a base of intolerance toward the West" throughout the Muslim world.
Defanging that monster, he suggests, is the real fight facing the United States, one that will take years, not weeks, to win.
"It's going to require a great deal of patience and commitment.I hope we have it."
Contact Clarke Bustard at (804) 649-6362 or cbustard@timesdispatch.com
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