english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/C5C1D86C-1AC9-42AA-A308 -
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Published on: 5/17/2008
Last Visited: 5/19/2008
However, Dr Samir Awad, the chairman of the faculty of law and public administration at Birzeit University's political science department on the West Bank, believes Israel will continue its short-term strategy of managing the Israeli-Palestinian conflict instead of a long-term strategy of resolving the crisis and that this will, in turn, backfire badly.
"I don't think Israel will cede hegemony of the West Bank or address core issues such as the division of Jerusalem, the right of return of the refugees or the settlements.
"This will lead to the strengthening of Hamas in the West Bank, accompanied by the weakening of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and his Palestinian Authority (PA), and a revolt of the people against his leadership for failing to deliver on core Palestinian demands and this is what Israel will have to contend with," Awad told Al Jazeera.
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Awad believes it is possible for Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip to reach a state of mutual tolerance if not recognition in the next few years, as Israel's demands for a ceasefire are within the Islamic organisation's conditions.
Shia crescent
Furthermore, neither Ma'oz nor Awad believe Iran is an existential threat to Israel's existence unless it is attacked first.
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Awad concurs, saying part of this would be Israel establishing quiet on its northern borders by reaching a deal with Hezbollah, another Syrian and Iranian proxy.
This would involve a comprehensive prisoner swap and the return of the Shaba' farms as Israelis have no ideological or land ties to Lebanon, explains Awad.
US administration change
But the danger remains in the US being more interested in the Sunni alliance exerting pressure on Syria than coaxing the latter away from the Shia crescent, Awad adds.