Jianyi Xu, Matthew Spiegelman, Robert H. McGuckin, III, Yaodong Liu, Yuan Jiang
According to Robert H. McGuckin, Director of Economic Research at The Conference Board and co-author of the study: "Increased unemployment has also accompanied the restructuring of the industrial sector, but per capita income has risen over the period."The new report from The Conference Board, the global research and business membership network, is the result of a joint research project with The National Bureau of Statistics of China.The study is based on data for the 51,000 large and medium sized firms in China's manufacturing, mining and the utilities industries.While the study focuses on the larger firms, according to McGuckin, "the same patterns are observed among smaller firms."China is rapidly losing manufacturing jobs in the same industries where the U.S. and other major countries have seen jobs disappear, such as textiles.
This year's luncheon will include a keynote address by Dr. Robert H. McGuckin III, director of Economic Research at The Conference Board, followed by the region's 2003 and 2004 forecast, presented by Jacki Renegar, director of the Chamber's Center for Business Research and Dr. Al Parish with Charleston Southern University ‘s Center for Economic Forecasting.
Robert H. McGuckin, IIIDr. Robert H. McGuckin was the Director of Economic Research at The Conference Board.
Besides overseeing economic research, including the Business Cycle and Leading Indicators program, he authored Perspectives on a Global Economy, which analyzed major economic issues, and Performance, an annual report that provided country-by-country comparisons of productivity and living standards.
He also wrote reports on a variety of economic and business topics, including most recently China's reform process and the impacts of information and communication technology on economic performance.
Before joining The Conference Board in 1996, Dr. McGuckin was Chief of the Center for Economic Studies (CES) at the U.S. Bureau of the Census, where he guided development of the Longitudinal Research Database (LRD) and a broad research program in both statistics and economics.
Under his leadership, CES became a world leader in the development of microdata approaches to economic theory and policy.
Dr. McGuckin held several positions with the Antitrust Division of the U.S. Department of Justice from 1974 to 1986, including Assistant Director of the Economic Policy Office and Director of Research for the Economic Analysis Group.While at the Department of Justice, he was named the Victor H. Kramer Fellow at the University of Chicago School of Law for the 1978/79 academic year.Dr. McGuckin was Assistant Professor of Economics at the University of California at Santa Barbara from 1970 to 1976.He received his Ph.D. in Economics from the State University of New York at Buffalo in 1970 and his B.A., cum laude, in Mathematics from Ithaca College in 1965.Dr. McGuckin was an expert in industrial organization, productivity, economic indicators, and statistics.He spoke regularly on economic and statistical topics to professional, business, and public groups.
Dr. McGuckin authored numerous articles on economic and statistical issues in refereed professional journals and business publications.
Some of his final work focused on diffusion of information and communication technology, mergers and acquisitions, China's economic reforms and their impact on business performance, and business cycle indicators.
He also wrote on a wide range of other topics, from the impact of the Euro on labor markets and economic growth, to the effect of aggregation on economic relationships.
Dr. McGuckin served as a director of the American Arbitration Association and the Council of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics (COPAFS), and as an advisor to government, professional and research organizations.He also served as a director of the Center for the Study of Contracts and Structure of Industry at the University of Pittsburgh's Katz School of Business and had been a member on the Business Advisory Board, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.
Publications by Robert H. McGuckin, III:
â€œThe marriage of new technologies and organizational change is at the heart of Americaâ€s growing productivity lead over Europe,â€ says Dr. Robert McGuckin, Director of Economic Research at The Conference Board and one of the authors of the report. â€œEuropean firms have not changed as rapidly as U.S. companies, and the regulatory climate in Europe, especially its constrictions on land use, has been a major burden.â€
Authoring the new study with Dr. McGuckin are Dr. Bart van Ark, consulting director for The Conference Boardâ€s international economic research program, and Matthew Spiegelman, former Conference Board economist now with Morgan Stanley.
Europeâ€s transformation has the potential to move at a very fast pace as companies have learned from the U.S. experience, concludes McGuckin.
Robert H. McGuckin is Director of Economic Research at The Conference Board, and an expert on productivity, industrial organization, economic indicators and statistics.Formerly, Dr. McGuckin was chief of the Center for Economic Studies at the U.S. Bureau of the Census, where he guided development of the Longitudinal Research Database, produced significant research on productivity growth, and headed a broad research program in statistics and economics. Bart van Ark is a Consulting Director for The Conference Boardâ€s international economic research program and a recognized expert on international comparisons of productivity and living standards.Dr. van Ark is Professor of Economics at the University of Groningen (The Netherlands), where he plays a key role in the International Comparisons of Output Productivity project.His work focuses on Europe, North America and Asia.
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