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Wrong Peter Tchir?

Mr. Peter Tchir

Managing Director

Brean Capital LLC

Direct Phone: (212) ***-****       

Email: p***@***.com

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Brean Capital LLC

1345 Avenue Of The Americas 29Th Floor

New York, New York 10105

United States

Company Description

Brean Capital is an independent investment bank and asset management firm. We focus on delivering high-quality investment ideas and investment banking services to institutional investors and corporate clients. Our services include equity research, corpora ... more

Find other employees at this company (227)

Background Information

Employment History

Bloomberg L.P.

Year of Active Manager

Bloomberg L.P.

Portfolio Manager

KLS Diversified Asset Management LP

Executive Director


Vice President

Deutsche Bank AG

Managing Director

The Royal Bank of Scotland plc


Descartes Fellow
University of Waterloo

Board Member
CDS Indexco

TF Market

Founder TF Market Advisors

Trident Municipal



mathematics and computer sciences

University of Waterloo

MBA with distinction

Vanderbilt University

Web References (159 Total References)

Economy Archives - [cached]

It's an alternative fixed-income fund that's "extremely concentrated," and "hardly representative of a 'high yield' or 'junk bond' fund," outlined Brean Capital's macro strategist Peter Tchir in a note to clients this morning. He highlighted that Bloomberg analytics show a portfolio that's almost 50% unrated, nearly 45% tiered at CCC or lower, and just 6% of holdings rated BB or B.

A Macro Strategist's Forecast For 2017: SPY, TM And TWTR | Benzinga [cached]

Friday's edition of Benzinga's PreMarket Prep saw a visit from Peter Tchir, the head of macro strategy at Brean Capital, who gave his thoughts on the Bureau of Labor Statistics non-farm payroll report, the longevity of President-elect Donald Trump's online influence and the potential resurgence of active money management.

At the top of the discussion was the recently released non-farm payroll report, which Tchir felt was a little too sloppy to draw any clear conclusions from. "You look at the headline numbers, jobs are a little bit weaker, so you could make the story that maybe the economy is not as good as people hoped, and that the analysts got ahead of themselves. At the same time, you saw a big increase in wages, so there is some case to be made that maybe the economy has turned a corner."
-However, Tchir did seem confident that early predictions on a series of rate hikes throughout 2017 were unlikely to manifest. "I think they will try and get one more in, probably in February, wait a little bit after Trump takes office. They clearly want to hike a little bit more; I just don't think the data will be supportive enough for that."
Trump's Tweets Meet Resistance
Regarding the president-elect, Tchir zeroed in on Trump's recent Twitter Inc (NYSE: TWTR) habit of singling out and admonishing specific companies' business decisions. Tchir questioned whether that tactic would continue to be effective after receiving some push back from Toyota Motor Corp (ADR) (NYSE: TM), his most recent target. "He came out and tweeted against Toyota and knocked Toyota's stock down. If you look through what is going on Twitter and traditional media, Toyota is pushing back, and the Japanese government is pushing back. He's had carte blanche until now, where when he says something, things happen, he gets his way."
Tchir elaborated by positing whether Trump's Twitter influence may be beginning to wane and whether that might temper some of the market expectations surrounding his presidency. "This could be a very interesting turning point, and it feeds into the rest of my issue," he said, adding, "which is that he is not going to have as easy of a time getting things done as he would like or as the markets are starting to build in."
Active Management And Stupid Beta
Concerning the markets in general, Peter Tchir made the prediction that 2017 could be a year of redemption for active investment managers who have been losing assets to more passive strategists for the past few years. He supplemented, "I think a couple things are coming together that will give the active mangers the opportunity to outperform and to shine and also they have the need to do it."
With the consequences of 2016's more surprising global and political developments like Brexit and Trump's election victory, Tchir predicted that 2017 will be the time for active managers to capitalize on riskier, high yield investments. On the other hand, Tchir was dim on the future of trading solely off beta and historical market trends.

Brean Capital's Peter Tchir ... [cached]

Brean Capital's Peter Tchir featured in: Investors Flock to CDS Amid Fears Over Banks' Bonds The Financial Times Feb 8, 2016 Brean Capital's Peter Tchir: European Bank Spreads Signal Concern Bloomberg

Brean Capital's Peter Tchir: Time to Buy High Yield Bonds?
Brean Capital's Peter Tchir: Trouble Ahead for High-Yield ETFs? Bloomberg Markets

Brean Capital's Peter Tchir ... [cached]

Brean Capital's Peter Tchir featured in: Investors Flock to CDS Amid Fears Over Banks' Bonds The Financial Times Feb 8, 2016 Brean Capital's Peter Tchir: European Bank Spreads Signal Concern Bloomberg

Brean Capital's Peter Tchir: Time to Buy High Yield Bonds?

PETER ... [cached]


Peter Tchir has served as a Managing Director at Brean Capital, LLC, an investment bank and asset management firm, since 2014. During his tenure at Brean Capital, Mr. Tchir has developed a wide following across fixed income and equity investors. From 2009 until 2014, Mr. Tchir operated TF Market Advisors LLC, an independent research, advisory, and consulting business serving top hedge funds and money managers, which he originally founded and which was sold to Brean Capital in 2014. TF Market Advisors was an early adopter of fixed income ETFs and was acknowledged as expert in the CDS and Credit Index areas. Mr. Tchir also served as a Portfolio Manager at KLS Diversified Asset Management LP from 2008 until 2009, as a Managing Director at RBS Securities Inc. (f/k/a RBS Greenwich Capital) from 2007 until 2008 and an Executive Director at UBS AG from 2003 until 2007.
Mr. Tchir is considered an "influencer" in his field and is regularly featured on Fox Business TV, Bloomberg TV, and radio, and has been part of headline articles in the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and the Financial Times, as well as being quoted regularly in Barron's. Business Insider rated Mr. Tchir's Twitter handle (@tfmkts) as one of the top 100 handles in finance to follow on Twitter.
Mr. Tchir earned a Bachelor of Mathematics at the University of Waterloo and an MBA at Vanderbilt University.
Other Directorships Held N/A
Skills & Qualifications Mr. Tchir's qualifications to serve as trustee include his in-depth product knowledge encompassing bonds, loans, derivatives, CDO's, and ETF's and his reputation as a "thought leader" in the financial services industry.
Peter Tchir

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