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Wrong Keith Hayes?

Dr. Keith Hayes R.

Senior Research Scientist


Direct Phone: +61 *********       

Email: k***@***.au


Clunies Ross St

Black Mountain, Australian Capital Territory 2601


Company Description

About CSIRO: The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) is Australia's national science agency, and one of the largest and most diverse research agencies in the world. ... more

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Background Information

Employment History

Research Assistant
Institute of Offshore Engineering, Heriot-Watt University


Executive Member

The Crimp Company



Web References (81 Total References)

The CSIRO Report (Keith Hayes, ...

info-gap.moshe-online.com [cached]

The CSIRO Report (Keith Hayes, 2011)

This page is dedicated to a discussion of the following important recent publication: Hayes KR (2011). Uncertainty and Uncertainty Analysis Methods.
The author of the REPORT, DR Keith Hayes, is a senior research scientist at the CSIRO Division of Mathematics, Informatics and Statistics. His research on risk in relation to complex ecological problems is focused on the areas of: biological stressors uncertainty analysis techniques ecological indicators
Keith is located at CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research --- Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.
I commend Keith for this initiative. This is definitely a step in the right direction. However, ... parts of the discussion on info-gap decision theory in the REPORT must be re-examined. Because alas, a number of typical info-gap bugs have infiltrated even this REPORT!
I hope that this discussion will encourage Keith, and other scientists in Australia, to take an even closer look at the flaws in info-gap decision theory and the misconceptions that it propounds, especially from the pages of peer-reviewed journals (see my compilation of reviews of info-gap publications).
Now, as I can afford to be less diplomatic than Keith, I shall spell out the fundamental trouble in info-gap decision theory more clearly, indeed more bluntly, as follows:
What is important is that Hayes (2011) does discuss, clarify, and illustrate one of the major flaws in info-gap decision theory that I discuss in my articles and presentations (e.g. Sniedovich (2007, 2010, 2011).
I hope that this REPORT will encourage analysts to open their eyes and ... minds to Hayes' (2011) explanation and illustration of the validity of my criticism of info-gap decision theory with regard to point b) in his REPORT.
Hayes's (2011) CSIRO report is definitely a step in the right direction.

Our people

www.csiro.au [cached]

Image of Dr Keith Hayes, researcher with CSIRO Mathematical and Information Sciences

Dr Keith Hayes: undertaking risk assessment for complex ecological problems
Dr Hayes is a senior research scientist responsible for developing and applying novel risk assessment techniques to complex ecological problems.

Committees: Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis

www.acera.unimelb.edu.au [cached]

Dr Keith Hayes (CSIRO)

CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research

ftp.marine.csiro.au [cached]

Dr Keith Hayes

Dr Keith Hayes: Ecological Risk Analyst, Conservation and Biodiversity

CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research

www.cmar.csiro.au [cached]

Dr Keith Hayes

Dr Keith Hayes: Ecological Risk Analyst, Conservation and Biodiversity

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