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Although there has not been any ...
Although there has not been any attack thus far on the NDN, one is possible, said Jon Chicky, a Eurasia expert at the National Defense University.
"Given that the Taliban and their allies have a demonstrated ability to carry out audacious attacks that tend to be symbolic, I would say the possibility of some sort of demonstration attack along the border of Uzbekistan (and Tajikistan) does exist," he said in an email interview with EurasiaNet.org.
"It would be prudent for the United States and the Central Asian frontline states to cooperate to prevent such a symbolic attack, rather than be taken by surprise and then be heavily criticized for not preparing for such an event," added Chicky. (He emphasized the views he expressed were his own, and did not necessarily represent those of NDU, the Department of Defense or the US government).
"What they tried to do is ...
"What they tried to do is put some sort of mechanism behind the Bucharest statement, a demonstrable item showing that Georgia and Ukraine are actually moving toward NATO membership," said Colonel Jon Chicky, a faculty member at the National Defense University who focuses on the region.
"MAP had always been the next logical step, but those three letters had become such a lightning rod, so they tried to find a way do MAP without having MAP."
Chicky emphasized that his views are his own and do not reflect those of the US government, Department of Defense or NDU].
Jon Chicky, an expert on ...
Jon Chicky, an expert on post-Soviet issues at the National Defense University in Washington, DC.
"The NATO alliance isn’t that interested in providing the physical means - anti-armor, air defense - to Georgia, and the alliance members are all over the map.
The Baltic states and former Warsaw Pact states are more inclined to support it, and the further West you go you get less support."
The problem, Chicky
said, is that US equipment is too expensive and more technologically advanced than Georgia needs.
Russian equipment is better suited for the Georgian military, but the countries in a position to provide that equipment, mainly in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, tend to be susceptible to Russian pressure.
"I don’t know if the Georgians are under an ’arms embargo’ like they claim, but if they try to buy defensive capabilities - air defense, anti-armor, things like that - and countries decide not to provide it to them, then what’s the next step?
How is Georgia’s security going to be ensured if they don’t have the means to defend themselves?
asked. [Editor's Note: Chicky stressed that he
was expressing his
personal views, and that they did not necessarily represent the official position of the National Defense University
, the Pentagon or the US Government].
The Pentagon budget for the next fiscal year is being finalized and will be released soon, but it is not believed to contain any new money for arming Georgia, according to Chicky
and Georgian diplomats in Washington.
Jon Chicky (National Defense ...
Jon Chicky (National Defense University) Dr. Ariel Cohen (the Heritage Foundation) and Janusz Bugajski (CSIS) delivered their remarks and assessments.
Jon Chicky (NDU) discussed the shortcomings of the OSCE, particularly referencing its major security treaties; the Vienna Document of the Negotiations on Confidence and Security Building Measures, and the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE).
agreed that a summit is necessary, he
said that the two aforementioned treaties would not be ready for revision this year.
suggested that basic principles should be established, relating to where the documents fit in and how security issues in Central Asia should be dealt with.
mentioned that China already plays a security role because three of China's neighbors are both OSCE members and participants in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization
Institute for New Democracies
Jon Chicky, National Defense University
Ambassador to the OSCE
, Martha Brill Olcott, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
, Edward Chow, Energy and National Security Program at CSIS
, and Jon Chicky
, National Defense University