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Background Information

Employment History

Research Director

Visitors Bureau


Visitors Bureau

Research Director

Fort Worth Convention and Visitors Bureau

Web References (9 Total References)

Star-Telegram | 01/08/2006 | Taxable retail sales data troubling for city's future [cached]

Maybe the trend will continue, although if perchance the mayor should run into constituent Gerald Thiel he'd be less optimistic.

Thiel, a longtime neighborhood advocate, is a physicist and mathematician and a statistical trends cruncher for the Fort Worth Convention and Visitors Bureau.He's good at tracking and diagnosing trends and has developed a related hobby: charting Arlington's economic health, statistically speaking.
Most recently, that hobby has focused on sales taxes in Arlington, with Thiel looking in particular at taxable retail sales from 1994 through 2004, then matching those numbers with census population data.
I know.Somebody really must persuade Thiel that there are other critical numbers he should focus on, such as reducing his average number of putts per green from three to two.He also would be more popular if he kept bad news to himself, bad news being exactly what his 10-year sales tax analysis has turned out to be.
"Taxable retail sales in Arlington -- where tax revenues come from -- has been lagging behind population growth and price inflation for a number of years," Thiel said.
"That is all the more disturbing when realizing that constant taxable dollar sales per capita in the rest of Tarrant County actually rose 13 percent during the same decade," Thiel said.
Thiel also figures that the status of Arlington as a declining job center is a factor, the problem being that commuters spend a portion of their incomes in other cities.
"The Parks mall did not have the same stimulus in part because it cannibalized the existing Six Flags and Forum 303 malls, did not have the same growing affluent market and was less convenient for persons in north Arlington," Thiel said."In addition, retail and entertainment options have followed the rapidly growing Mansfield population so that residents there have less need to drive to Arlington."
Not entirely gloomy, Thiel believes that some positive prospects to improve the sales tax picture are taking place in Arlington -- just not enough, or at least not yet.
"Arlington appears to have evolved with systemic problems that will not easily be reversed," he said.

Fort Worth Business Press [cached]

Jerry Thiel, research director for the Fort Worth Convention and Visitors Bureau, said local businesses are also preparing for the influx of nearly one million visitors.

"A lot of people come to town for this - not too many cities have events like this and even fewer have events like this that are this successful," he said.
Thiel said that based on last year's numbers, he estimates the economic impact of this year's livestock show and rodeo at more than $100,000 million.
"This is a big time of year for the city and it's something that helps us be successful year after year," Thiel said.
The numbers for past shows, Thiel said, speak volumes about the impact future shows will have.
"[The Stock Show] lasts a long time and brings in a lot of visitors and those show animals eat a lot so there is a lot of activity going on here," he said.

CVB Information - Staff Listing [cached]

Jerry ThielResearch Directorjerrythiel@fortworth.com817.460.3280Fax: 817.336.3282

CVB Information - Staff Listing [cached]

Jerry ThielResearch Directorjerrythiel@fortworth.com817.460.3280Fax: 817.336.3282

Fort Worth Convention and Visitors Bureau [cached]

Jerry ThielResearch Directorjerrythiel@fortworth.com817.336.8791 , Ext.279800.433.5747817.460.3280Fax 817.336.3282


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