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This profile was last updated on 3/10/15  and contains information from public web pages and contributions from the ZoomInfo community.
University of California , Irvine
801 E. Peltason Dr.
Irvine , California 92617
United States

Company Description: About the University of California, Irvine: Founded in 1965, UCI is a top-ranked university dedicated to research, scholarship and community service. Led by...   more

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Mitchell Prize | International Society for Bayesian Analysis, 13 Feb 2015 [cached]
Hal Stern
Hal Stern
Accepting the "Chips Ahoy! 1,000 Chips Challenge and The Man Who Makes the Odds in Las Vegas, 1 Jan 1999 [cached]
Chance attempts to demonstrate this with articles and columns from a variety of fields," said Executive Editor Hal S. Stern, a professor of statistics at Iowa State University.
This issue also contains a Chance first -- an interview.
Contact: Hal S. Stern, Chance Executive
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Copyright | Privacy Statement | Disclaimer© 2002 American Statistical Association.
Ivars Peterson's MathTrek - Picking Winners, 19 Jan 1998 [cached]
In the current issue of Chance, statistician Hal S. Stern of Iowa State University in Ames takes a look at what sort of simple information may be helpful for identifying winning teams, though not necessarily for making bets that beat the spread (or odds)."The question of primary interest is what proportion of game outcomes could be correctly predicted by an intelligent observer," Stern says.
Stern focuses mainly on U.S. professional sports, though the analysis can be easily applied to other sports, as long as the right sorts of data are available.
One simple prediction rule is to pick that team that plays at home."This rule ought not to predict very well because it completely ignores the relative ability of the teams that are competing," Stern remarks.
Nonetheless, the evidence supports the existence of a home-field advantage (see table), especially in basketball.Moreover, the home-field advantage for college sports appears to be slightly larger than for professional sports, Stern says.
Stern, Hal S. 1997.How accurately can sports outcomes be predicted?Chance 10(No.4):19-23.
Hal S. Stern , Iowa State University , Editor , Chance , 1999-2001
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