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This profile was last updated on 11/21/13  and contains information from public web pages and contributions from the ZoomInfo community.

Economist

Phone: (619) ***-****  HQ Phone
San Diego State University
5500 Campanile Drive
San Diego, California 92182
United States

Company Description: San Diego State University is a major public research institution offering bachelor's degrees in 89 areas, master's degrees in 78 areas and doctorates in 21 areas....   more
Background

Employment History

Board Memberships and Affiliations

  • Editor of the PAD System Report Newsletter and An Emeritus Professor of Economics
    Miami University of Ohio
  • Emeritus Professor of Economics
    Miami University of Ohio

Education

  • PhD , Economics
    Yale University
  • BA , Economics
    Yale University
199 Total References
Web References
"The market has come a long ...
www.gayly.com, 21 Nov 2013 [cached]
"The market has come a long way," said Dan Seiver, an economist at San Diego State University.
Monday, May 10 | This Is Hell!
thisishell.net, 16 Nov 2013 [cached]
They're ready to announce their retirement," joked Daniel Seiver, a finance professor at San Diego State University
"Class action lawsuits are not uncommon ...
www.tw2marketing.com, 23 May 2012 [cached]
"Class action lawsuits are not uncommon when stocks go down suddenly," said Dan Seiver, a San Diego State University finance lecturer.
...
"Most ordinary investors were racing to buy it at whatever price they could get it," Seiver said.
Team Riley, Spa Realty, Inc. Hot Springs Real Estate Blog
www.myhotspringshomes.com, 1 Feb 2008 [cached]
ANNANDALE, Va. (MarketWatch) -- The last time I chatted with Dan Seiver was immediately following the Federal Reserve's interest-rate cut on Jan. 30. (Read Jan. 30 column.) Seiver edits a newsletter that I track called the PAD System Report, which has a decent long-term track record. In his spare time after producing his newsletter, Seiver finds time to be an emeritus professor of economics at Miami University of Ohio and a visiting professor of economics and finance at San Diego State University. I decided to check in with Seiver after this week's rate cut, not only to get his thoughts about what the Fed is likely to do next but also to chide him for predicting in late January that the Fed would only cut rates an additional half point and then be done altogether with its rate-cutting. As fate would have it, of course, the Fed earlier this week cut rates by three-quarters of a percent, and it is not at all clear that the Fed won't cut even more in coming weeks and months. In his defense, Seiver explained that he didn't foresee the insolvency and potential bankruptcy of Bear Stearns Cos. And, for this reason, he said he should probably qualify his prediction that the Fed will not cut rates any further. "If there's another Bear Stearns lurking in the background," he said, then all bets are off: In that event, "the Fed will probably slam the gas pedal down again." Notwithstanding that qualification, though, he said "I don't think the Fed will cut any more." Seiver has one more reason now than in late January for believing the Fed is done with its rate cutting: There is growing dissension among members of the Fed's Open Market Committee (FOMC) about the wisdom of cutting rates. "The FOMC has to speak with close to one voice," he said, if the Fed is to not spook investors and do more damage than good. "The market would take it very badly if there were a lot of dissenters." In voting earlier this week to cut rates by three-quarters of one percent, of course, the FOMC already faced dissension, with two members voting against doing so. "Two dissents are a serious problem," Seiver believes. "My guess is that there would have been other dissenters if the Fed had tried to cut a full point," which is what the Fed futures market was otherwise expecting prior to the Fed meeting. And Seiver guesses that there will be even more dissension if the Fed, absent another Bear Stearns-like crisis, tries to cut rates any further. This issue of internal Fed dissension comes on top of the reasons that Seiver mentioned in late January for thinking that the Fed was close to ending its rate-cutting: The significant and growing threat posed by inflation, and the even bigger worry that the Fed could soon find itself so behind the curve in responding to financial crises that it becomes "180 degrees out of phase" with what's really going on in the economy. Seiver is confident that Fed chairman Ben Bernanke is well aware of the risks involved with the Fed falling too behind the curve.
The same conclusion, if not almost ...
kontentkonsult.com, 1 Jan 2006 [cached]
The same conclusion, if not almost the same language, comes from Dan Seiver, editor of the PAD System Report: "The Bull Market. It's done. We think the top is in at Dow 11,650 and S&P 1325. Seiver is editor of the PAD System Report newsletter and an emeritus professor of economics at Miami University of Ohio and currently a visiting professor of economics and finance at San Diego State University and the University of San Diego. In addition to forecasting a bear market, Seiver argues that we should get used to a lot of market volatility in the wake of Fed decisions. In an interview Thursday afternoon, Seiver pointed out that not only is Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke an unknown quantity, but so also are a number of other new members on the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee (FOMC). "Wall Street is more confident with guys who have been around for a long time," according to Seiver. For example, Seiver said, there undoubtedly would have been a lot less uncertainty leading up to the Fed's meeting on Thursday had Alan Greenspan still been Fed chairman.
...
In contrast to Greenspan, Seiver continues, Bernanke and the other new members of the FOMC are "potentially loose cannons.
...
Given that today's FOMC is not as predictable as those in past years, Seiver nevertheless was willing Thursday afternoon to hazard a guess that the FOMC's August meeting will not mark the end of its rate-hike cycle. Seiver added: "The days of easy money are over."
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